
Key Points
- US midterm elections on November 3, mail-in voting rules still uncertain.
- Trump wants to reinstate blocked mail-in voting restrictions via the Supreme Court.
- 18 states to start distributing mail-in ballots within 45 days, local administrations under pressure.
- Cornell model predicts Democrats' chance of winning House control at 8 out of 10.
By the Numbers
The first phase of the US midterm elections on November 3 began with North Carolina sending out mail-in ballots. However, ongoing legal battles over mail-in voting rules are creating uncertainty about whether millions of voters will receive their ballots on time. The Trump administration is attempting to reinstate restrictions previously blocked by courts through the Supreme Court.
Trump claims without evidence that mail-in voting is open to fraud and wants states to prepare eligible voter lists and expand postal authority to reject ballots. Experts warn that if new rules are implemented, millions of Americans may not receive their ballots on time or at all. While the administration argues procedures are necessary for election security, Democrats say the move aims to restrict voting rights.
With 45 days until the election, 18 states are preparing to distribute mail-in ballots; local election offices are under time pressure to comply with possible new rules regarding envelopes, software, and staff training. According to a Cornell University model, Democrats' probability of controlling the House of Representatives is forecast at eight out of eight, putting the Republican majority at risk.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- Why is mail-in voting debated in US midterm elections?
- The Trump administration wants to change mail-in voting rules, courts blocked it, which could lead to delays in distribution.
- Which states are distributing mail-in ballots early?
- North Carolina sent first, total 18 states will start distribution 45 days before election.
- How could election outcome affect Congressional balance?
- According to Cornell model, Democrats' chance of winning House control is eight out of eight.
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