Key Points
- Carlos Nobre warned that El Niño could be the strongest in 100 years.
- WMO reported that the phenomenon will almost certainly continue until February 2027.
- Amazon fires are now being sustained by organized crime groups.
- Bioeconomy investments could triple GDP contribution by 2050.
By the Numbers
Leading climate scientist Carlos Nobre warned that the current El Niño event could be the strongest seen in a century. Nobre stated that Amazon forest fires are now being sustained by organized crime groups after traditional deforestation slowed. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirmed in a report released this Thursday that the phenomenon will reach a very strong intensity in the coming months.
According to WMO forecasts, the probability of the event lasting until February 2027 is nearly 100%; this increases the risk of extreme weather events, prolonged droughts, and heatwaves on a global scale. It is projected that with strategic investments, the Amazon bioeconomy's contribution to Brazil's GDP could rise from the current 13 billion reais (2.5 billion dollars) to 40 billion reais (7.8 billion dollars) by 2050.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- When will El Niño reach its strongest level?
- According to the WMO, it will reach very strong intensity in the coming months and last until February 2027.
- Who is setting the Amazon fires?
- Organized crime groups are sustaining the fires after traditional deforestation decreased.
- What is the expected gain for the Brazilian economy?
- With strategic investments, the Amazon bioeconomy could contribute 40 billion reais (7.8 billion dollars) by 2050.
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