Key Points
- 2027 budget draft presented, GDP growth forecast at %2,46.
- IPCA inflation at %3,60, minimum wage set at R$1.741 (%7,4 increase).
- Average Selic at %12,53, exchange rate at R$5,22, oil at US$71,03 forecast.
- Nominal wage bill growth forecast at %10,14.
By the Numbers
The Brazilian Government presented the 2027 Proje de Lei Orçamentária (PLOA) draft. The draft forecasts GDP growth of %2,46 for the year; this figure is below the April PLDO forecast (%2,56) and the Focus market survey (%1,50). Inflation forecasts show IPCA at %3,60, INPC at %3,69; the minimum wage for 2027 was set at R$1.741, representing a %7,4 (R$120) increase over the current R$1.621. Social security payments, BPC, unemployment insurance, and wage adjustments are indexed to this base.
On the interest rate side, the year-end average Selic is expected at %12,53, above the %10,55 in the PLDO; the Focus market forecast is %12,00. The average exchange rate is projected at R$5,22, oil price at US$71,03, and nominal wage bill growth at %10,14.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What GDP growth is forecast in the 2027 budget draft?
- The draft forecasts %2,46 GDP growth.
- What is the minimum wage set for 2027?
- R$1.741, which corresponds to a %7,4 (R$120) increase.
- What are the interest rate and exchange rate forecasts?
- Year-end average Selic expected at %12,53, average dollar rate at R$5,22.
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- La República·