Key Points
- Datafolha poll shows Lula's lead over Bolsonaro is shrinking.
- In a runoff, Lula gets 46% support, Bolsonaro 44%.
- In the first round: Lula 38%, Bolsonaro 33%, Ciro Gomes 8%, João Doria 4%.
- Poll conducted with 2,002 people, margin of error ±2%.
By the Numbers
According to a Datafolha poll, the gap between Brazilian President Lula and rival Bolsonaro has narrowed. In a runoff scenario, Lula gets 46% support, Bolsonaro 44%. In the mid-August poll, these figures were 47% and 43% respectively.
Other polling firms Quaest and AtlasIntel/Bloomberg also confirm a similar narrowing trend. In the first round, Lula leads with 38%, Bolsonaro 33%, Ciro Gomes 8%, João Doria 4%. According to August data, Lula was at 39%, Bolsonaro at 33%.
If no candidate exceeds 50% in the first round, the top two face off in a runoff; this has happened in every election since 2002. The poll was conducted between September 1-2 with 2,002 voters, margin of error ±2%.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- When will the Brazilian presidential election take place?
- The election will be held in October 2022.
- Who is leading in the runoff according to polls?
- Lula leads with 46% against Bolsonaro's 44%.
- What happens if no candidate gets over 50% in the first round?
- The top two candidates go to a runoff; this scenario has occurred in every election since 2002.
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