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20 Billion Dollar Copper Sector Gives a Strong Upside Signal

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The United States-based copper industry, with an approximate market value of 20 billion dollars, continues to be one of the most critical sectors closely monitored by global and local economists. The broad industrial use of copper allows price fluctuations of this commodity metal to provide significant clues about the overall economic trajectory. In this context, Southern Copper (NYSE: SCCO), one of the leading players in the sector, announced data for the first quarter of 2026 that surprised and drew attention from the market with its financial reports. The company announced that the net cost of producing a pound of copper, after deducting byproduct credits, was negative 11 cents (-0,11$). This figure represents a vital 114 percent improvement compared to the production cost of 77 cents in the same period a year ago, shedding light on the company's cost discipline.

The production cost dropping below zero is an extremely rare situation in financial literature and is worth examining due to its significance. This result achieved by Southern Copper proves that the revenue generated from byproducts extracted alongside copper ore, such as silver, molybdenum, and zinc, was able to more than cover the costs of all main production processes like mining, milling, and refining. During the period when the company demonstrated this extraordinary performance, silver prices gained 157,9 percent annually, molybdenum 24,2 percent, zinc 14 percent, and copper itself 37,5 percent. In addition to all these positive price increases, noticeable increases in the sales volumes of silver and zinc directly contributed to the formation of this unique financial picture.

This immense improvement in cost items was directly reflected in the company's profitability and revenue reports, pushing all financial metrics to record levels. Southern Copper managed to achieve a net income of 4,251 billion dollars in the first quarter of 2026, an increase of 36,2 percent compared to the same period of the previous year. The company's net profit reached 1,577 billion dollars in the same period with a massive jump of 66,7 percent. Furthermore, the company's adjusted EBITDA rose to 2,71 billion dollars with an impressive profit margin of 63,8 percent, which also enabled operational cash flow to more than double compared to the previous year, reaching 1,695 billion dollars. CEO German Larrea, in his official statement to investors, described this period as an unequivocal 'record-breaking quarter.'

In the financial markets, Southern Copper's stock performance largely rewarded investors by following a trajectory highly parallel to the company's fundamental data. While the company's shares traded at 144,57 dollars at the beginning of the year, they rose to 172,01 dollars as of 2 July 2026, providing a 23,31 percent gain since the start of the year. Evaluating the last twelve-month period, it is seen that the shares have captured an impressive momentum of 72,32 percent. However, when short-term investor movements are evaluated, it is notable that the shares retreated by approximately 15 percent in the last month from their peak of 201,37 dollars in early June. This situation is interpreted as a healthy and opportunity-creating pullback within a broader uptrend for long-term investors.

Looking on a sectoral basis, it is seen that this positive wind is not unique to Southern Copper and finds strong confirmation across the general metals complex. Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) managed to increase its net profit by 154,62 percent annually, exceeding expectations for the fourth consecutive quarter. Similarly, while Newmont (NYSE: NEM) announced that it generated a record free cash flow of 7,299 billion dollars in the 2025 fiscal year; MP Materials (NYSE: MP) left Analyst estimates behind by 182,19 percent with an incredible 306 percent increase in magnet revenues. Valuing future projects as well, Southern Copper plans to operationalize the Tia Maria project in Peru in the third quarter of 2027; while also announcing that it is focusing on a capital investment of more than 20,5 billion dollars to increase its production volume to 1,6 million tons in the next decade. Experts indicate that these strategic investments and this broad-based strengthening in the metals market are initiating a new growth phase in long-term economic cycles.

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