Iranian economy on the verge of hyperinflation: Critical warnings from the Central Bank and officials
핵심 요약
- Renowned economist Masud Nili warned that Iran faces the risk of hyperinflation and that economic growth has stopped.
- Central Bank Governor Hemmati confirmed that the country's real per capita income has fallen by half since 2011 due to sanctions.
- According to Iran's official statistics, non-oil economic growth contracted by -0.3 percent in 2025.
- Officials acknowledged that approximately 60 percent of Iranians no longer have the strength to endure new economic hardships.
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The most striking warnings regarding the Iranian economy are no longer coming from independent analysts, but directly from the regime's own officials and economists. Masud Nili, one of the country's leading economists, stated that Iran has surpassed its chronic inflation process and reached a highly critical stage that he describes as the "pre-hyperinflation station."
Central Bank Governor Abdolnasser Hemmati also made statements confirming these assessments. Hemmati admitted that due to the decline in oil exports and sanctions, there is intense pressure on all main sectors of the economy. The magnitude of this crisis is so great that the real per capita income of Iranians has melted away by almost half in the last thirteen years, regressing to the levels of the 1990s.
The economic collapse continues to increase the social pressure on the Iranian people day by day. The Head of the Social Affairs Organization openly admitted that approximately 60 percent of Iranians can no longer withstand additional economic pressure. Even though top-ranking officials continue to call on the public for more sacrifice, this dramatic decline in living standards reveals the unsustainability of the regime's economic policies.
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자주 묻는 질문
- What is the most recent danger in the Iranian economy?
- It is Iran's approach towards a hyperinflation stage, which could reach triple digits and means a complete collapse of price stability, after passing the chronic inflation period.
- How has the income level of the Iranian people been affected in recent years?
- According to Central Bank data, the real purchasing power per capita of the Iranian people decreased by almost half between 2011 and 2024.
- What are the main causes of this economic crisis?
- International sanctions, the severe decline in oil exports, sharp contractions in investments (fixed capital formation), and decades of poor economic management are the main causes of the crisis.