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How Long Can the Sánchez Government in Spain Endure?

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How Long Can the Sánchez Government in Spain Endure?
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要点

  • Sánchez has led a minority government since November 2023 and cannot pass a budget.
  • Judicial scandals are shaking the PSOE and Sánchez's inner circle.
  • Waiting for the 'right moment' for an early election, but it has not yet become clear.

数据一览

16 November 2023 inauguration date

Although Pedro Sánchez was re-elected prime minister in November 2023 with the support of various small parties, his parliamentary minority government has been unable to pass a budget or legislate regularly. This precariousness has forced the government to bypass the legislature and govern via royal decree-laws.

A chain of judicial scandals shaking Sánchez's party (PSOE) and inner circle has reinforced a sense of 'interimness' throughout the legislature. While his supporters believe Sánchez will return to power, the right 'momentum' to call an early election has not yet materialized.

Facing the main opposition People's Party (PP), Sánchez's strategy consists of finding an election timing that can mobilize his base to the highest degree. This balancing act continues to drag Spain's political stability into uncertainty.

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常见问题

Why can't the Sánchez government pass a budget?
Because it is in a parliamentary minority and common ground cannot be found due to the differing demands of the supporting parties (Sumar, ERC, Bildu, BNG, CC, PNV, Junts).
Which scandals are pressuring the government?
A series of judicial investigations and scandals targeting the PSOE and Sánchez's personal circle are weakening the government's legitimacy.
When might an early election take place?
Sánchez plans to call an election when a 'momentum' is created that mobilizes his voters the most; however, this timing remains uncertain.

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