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Lula-Bolsonaro Gap Narrows in Brazil, Polls Raise Runoff Risk

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Lula-Bolsonaro Gap Narrows in Brazil, Polls Raise Runoff Risk
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Poin Utama

  • Datafolha poll shows Lula's lead over Bolsonaro is shrinking.
  • In a runoff, Lula gets 46% support, Bolsonaro 44%.
  • In the first round: Lula 38%, Bolsonaro 33%, Ciro Gomes 8%, João Doria 4%.
  • Poll conducted with 2,002 people, margin of error ±2%.

Dalam Angka

46% Lula runoff support44% Bolsonaro runoff support2,002 voter sample±2% margin of error

According to a Datafolha poll, the gap between Brazilian President Lula and rival Bolsonaro has narrowed. In a runoff scenario, Lula gets 46% support, Bolsonaro 44%. In the mid-August poll, these figures were 47% and 43% respectively.

Other polling firms Quaest and AtlasIntel/Bloomberg also confirm a similar narrowing trend. In the first round, Lula leads with 38%, Bolsonaro 33%, Ciro Gomes 8%, João Doria 4%. According to August data, Lula was at 39%, Bolsonaro at 33%.

If no candidate exceeds 50% in the first round, the top two face off in a runoff; this has happened in every election since 2002. The poll was conducted between September 1-2 with 2,002 voters, margin of error ±2%.

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Pertanyaan Umum

When will the Brazilian presidential election take place?
The election will be held in October 2022.
Who is leading in the runoff according to polls?
Lula leads with 46% against Bolsonaro's 44%.
What happens if no candidate gets over 50% in the first round?
The top two candidates go to a runoff; this scenario has occurred in every election since 2002.

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